{"id":12371,"date":"2021-08-14T23:58:27","date_gmt":"2021-08-15T06:58:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/?p=12371"},"modified":"2021-08-15T05:23:09","modified_gmt":"2021-08-15T12:23:09","slug":"post1-142","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/?p=12371","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;The Observer view on the fall of Afghanistan&#8221;, The Observer"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Observer editorial, London, 15 August 2021<\/p>\n<p><em>The Taliban\u2019s rapid advance is chilling but a united response can still avert catastrophe<\/em><\/p>\n<picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"dcr-1989ovb\" src=\"https:\/\/i.guim.co.uk\/img\/media\/e91daa824a445ee0df8a8ce08bec4cfed11fcf2a\/0_57_3200_1920\/master\/3200.jpg?width=445&amp;quality=45&amp;auto=format&amp;fit=max&amp;dpr=2&amp;s=5b61379d15d4ee754fd75f495d674278\" alt=\"A Taliban fighter, armed with a rocket-propelled grenade, enters Herat, Afghanistan\u2019s third biggest city.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1200\" \/><\/picture><span class=\"dcr-l6t30p\"><span class=\"dcr-ochq61\">A Taliban fighter, armed with a rocket-propelled grenade, enters Herat, Afghanistan\u2019s third biggest city.<\/span>Photograph: AFP\/Getty Images<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"dcr-8a14ll\"><span class=\"dcr-o4cepu\">T<\/span><\/span><span class=\"dcr-1jp9ryy\">he fall of Afghanistan to fundamentalist Taliban forces is a disaster foretold. Although the capital, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2021\/aug\/14\/us-troops-start-to-arrive-for-afghanistan-evacuation-as-taliban-close-in-on-kabul\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Kabul<\/a>, remains in government hands, the scale and speed of the insurgents\u2019 advance has left no doubt who now holds the upper hand. This swift implosion is likened to the final days of the Vietnam war, when the Viet Cong overran Saigon in April 1975. If what the world is witnessing is the moral as well as the physical collapse of a nation, the fall of France in June 1940 may be the better analogy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1jp9ryy\">The success, though not the startling rapidity, of the Taliban\u2019s many-fronted offensive in seizing key provincial capitals and much of rural Afghanistan was predictable once it became clear, in June, that residual <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2021\/jun\/20\/catastrophe-stalks-afghanistan-as-the-us-and-uk-dash-for-the-exit\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">US forces were rushing to leave<\/a>. The foolish, unilateral American decision to quit at short notice effectively obliged Britain and other Nato allies to follow. It wrongfooted government forces. It gave Taliban leaders the opening they had awaited for 20 years.<\/p>\n<div id=\"dfp-ad--inline1\" class=\"js-ad-slot ad-slot ad-slot--inline ad-slot--inline1 ad-slot--outstream ad-slot--rendered\" data-link-name=\"ad slot inline1\" data-name=\"inline1\" data-mobile=\"1,1|2,2|300,197|300,250|300,274|fluid\" data-phablet=\"1,1|2,2|300,197|300,250|300,274|620,350|550,310|fluid\" data-desktop=\"1,1|2,2|300,250|300,274|620,1|620,350|550,310|fluid\" data-google-query-id=\"CN7bz7P_svICFUQBrQYdx0gC6g\">\n<div class=\"ad-slot__label\">The resulting shock waves are widely felt. Joe Biden bears immediate responsibility for a preventable reversal that will have lasting, deeply negative consequences for the longsuffering Afghan people and for western security. But this <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2021\/aug\/12\/afghanistan-us-military-analysis-biden-rumsfeld\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">failure is shared with previous US presidents<\/a> who took their eye off the ball in the years after al-Qaida\u2019s 9\/11 attacks \u2013 and especially with Donald Trump, whose unbelievably inept, self-serving \u201cpeace deal\u201d with Taliban leaders in Doha last year paved the way for capitulation.<\/div>\n<p class=\"dcr-1jp9ryy\">Britain, America\u2019s steadfast but unconsulted ally, also faces searching questions about what was achieved and what happens next. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/boris-johnson\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Boris Johnson<\/a>and Ben Wallace, the defence secretary, claim the occupation prevented more al-Qaida attacks and advanced women\u2019s education. But Wallace also admits there is a resurgence of al-Qaida in Afghanistan, as well as of Islamic State fanatics, which is a looming worry. It\u2019s obvious the job is incomplete \u2013 and that what good has been done may quickly be undone.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1jp9ryy\">It\u2019s a pity that Wallace\u2019s sharp criticism of the US \u2013 he described Trump\u2019s Doha giveaway as a \u201crotten deal\u201d and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2021\/aug\/13\/us-withdrawal-afghanistan-mistake-uk-defence-secretary-ben-wallace\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">withdrawal as a \u201cmistake\u201d <\/a>\u2013 was not more clearly articulated when there was time to do something about it. His admission that he tried and failed to persuade France and Germany to help maintain a military presence starkly illustrates the limitations of \u201cglobal Britain\u201d. Without the US, and estranged from Europe, Britain was powerless.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"dcr-1plxoa0\">\n<footer><cite><\/cite><\/footer>\n<\/aside>\n<p class=\"dcr-1jp9ryy\">An enormous humiliation has also been inflicted on Ashraf Ghani, the Afghan president. His uninspiring, ineffective political leadership has been cruelly exposed. Yet it\u2019s also true that he was seriously weakened when Trump excluded his government from the Doha talks. The inclusive democracy that many Afghans, western governments and NGOs strove so hard to establish is in mortal danger as a result. In fact, it\u2019s dying before our eyes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1jp9ryy\">Ordinary Afghans have more basic concerns. They watch fearfully as Taliban fanatics begin to violently reorder their lives, imposing regressive Islamic law, restricting access to education and persecuting women. Their priority is survival amid record civilian casualties. Their ordeal can only be imagined. Former minister Rory Stewart rightly speaks of \u201cbetrayal\u201d. In a country where the average age is 18, millions of people who reject Islamist bigotry face the prospect of <a href=\"https:\/\/news.un.org\/en\/story\/2021\/08\/1097742\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">a nightmarish future<\/a> under the yoke of a medieval feudal state.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1jp9ryy\">The full repercussions of this disaster are only beginning to be felt. Hundreds of thousands of people are already internally displaced. Many have fled to Kabul. If the capital falls, waves of frightened, dispossessed and hungry people could surge into Pakistan, Iran and the central Asian republics from a country the United Nations warns is \u201cspinning out of control\u201d. It may only be a matter of time before huge, twin humanitarian and refugee emergencies impact Europe and destabilise the wider region.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1jp9ryy\">Perhaps, at last gasp, catastrophe may be averted. It\u2019s possible Kabul will hold, that Ghani\u2019s demoralised army will make a stand and even repulse the insurgents. It\u2019s possible the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/taliban\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Taliban<\/a>, split between opposing groups of fundamentalists and pragmatists, fighters and ideologues, will voluntarily halt their advance, accept a power-sharing deal, or fall out among themselves. It\u2019s even possible Biden, under pressure to make amends, will send back bombers and drones to help stem the tide.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1jp9ryy\">But none of this is likely to make a lasting difference unless the international community urgently comes together. Why are so many countries passively looking on? Why is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/asia-pacific\/un-security-council-discussing-condemnation-taliban-2021-08-13\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">UN security council fiddling while Afghanistan burns<\/a>? All the main players share an interest in peace. China and Russia fear the jihadist contagion. Both India and Pakistan, in theory, desire stability. Sanctioned, Covid-hit Iran can no more afford a refugee crisis on its eastern border than can Turkey or the EU.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1jp9ryy\">An outcome that salvages Afghan democracy, secures basic human rights and provides guarantees against future jihadist threats is in everyone\u2019s interest. Even now, if the world truly wants it, Afghanistan can be pulled back from the totalitarian, terrorist abyss \u2013 and the Taliban brought to heel. <a href=\"https:\/\/news.un.org\/en\/story\/2021\/08\/1097792\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Ant\u00f3nio Guterres<\/a>, the UN secretary general, is demanding an immediate ceasefire, followed by \u201cgood faith\u201d negotiations. For all our sakes, he must be vigorously supported.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1jp9ryy\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2021\/aug\/15\/the-observer-view-on-the-fall-of-afghanistan\">The Observer<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Observer editorial, London, 15 August 2021 The Taliban\u2019s rapid advance is chilling but a united response can still avert catastrophe A Taliban fighter, armed with a rocket-propelled grenade, enters Herat, Afghanistan\u2019s third biggest city.Photograph: AFP\/Getty Images The fall of Afghanistan to fundamentalist Taliban forces is a disaster foretold. Although the capital, Kabul, remains in government [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1001004,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12371"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1001004"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12371"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12371\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12390,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12371\/revisions\/12390"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12371"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12371"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12371"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}