{"id":5835,"date":"2018-12-31T20:54:17","date_gmt":"2019-01-01T04:54:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/?p=5835"},"modified":"2018-12-31T20:54:17","modified_gmt":"2019-01-01T04:54:17","slug":"extreme-weather-in-2018-was-a-raging-howling-signal-of-climate-change-the-washington-post","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/?p=5835","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;Extreme weather in 2018 was a raging, howling signal of climate change&#8221;, The Washington Post"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-elm-loc=\"1\">By Joel Achenbach, December 31, 2018<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"1\">Just off the top of his head, climate scientist Kevin Trenberth can recount many of the weather disasters that hit the planet in 2018. Record rainfall and flooding in Japan, followed by a heat wave that sent tens of thousands of people to the hospital. Astonishing temperature records set across the planet, including sweltering weather above the Arctic Circle. Historic, lethal wildfires in Greece, Sweden and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national\/deadly-california-wildfires-rage-north-and-south-destroying-paradise-putting-tens-of-thousands-at-risk\/2018\/11\/09\/19b0e2e8-e45a-11e8-b759-3d88a5ce9e19_story.html?utm_term=.8126c2a727a5\">California<\/a>, terrible flooding in India, a super typhoon with 165-mph winds in the Philippines, and two record-setting hurricanes that slammed the Southeast United States.<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"2\">\u201cClimate change is adding to what\u2019s going on naturally, and it\u2019s that extra stress that causes things to break,\u201d said Trenberth, a scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo. \u201cIt takes the experience well outside anything that\u2019s been experienced before. It crosses thresholds. As a result, things break, people die, and things burn.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"3\">There is no single metric for measuring extreme weather globally and comparing 2018 with previous years. The American Meteorological Society puts out an annual report on extreme weather, but it <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ametsoc.org\/index.cfm\/ams\/publications\/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams\/state-of-the-climate\/\" target=\"_blank\">just published the 2017 results<\/a> and won\u2019t issue its report on 2018 until late next year.<\/p>\n<div class=\"teads-inread sm-screen\"><\/div>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"4\">But it was definitely <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national\/health-science\/climate-change-is-supercharging-a-hot-and-dangerous-summer\/2018\/07\/26\/cf960ba8-905c-11e8-bcd5-9d911c784c38_story.html?utm_term=.3a5bdee50e81\">a hot and perilous year<\/a>. Perhaps most striking were the temperature extremes. It was not the hottest year on record in terms of overall global temperature \u2014 the three previous years were slightly warmer \u2014 but many places around the planet set high-temperature records.<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"5\">Africa may have endured the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/capital-weather-gang\/wp\/2018\/07\/06\/africa-may-have-witnessed-its-all-time-hottest-temperature-thursday-124-degrees-in-algeria\/?noredirect=on&amp;utm_term=.971317a9769f\">hottest temperature ever reliably measured<\/a>since record-keeping began: 124.3 degrees Fahrenheit in the Sahara Desert city of Ouargla, Algeria, on July 5.<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"6\">That same day, temperatures may have reached 90 degrees F. on the coast of the Arctic Ocean in northern Siberia. And in the Middle East, the <i>low<\/i> temperature of the day in Quriyat, Oman, on June 28 was 109 degrees F.<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"7\">Among the many striking events of 2018 was the late <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national\/were-kinda-getting-crushed-record-breaking-hurricane-michael-slams-florida\/2018\/10\/10\/3e7f376a-cca8-11e8-920f-dd52e1ae4570_story.html?utm_term=.e13e3465b398\">intensification of Hurricane Michael<\/a> in early October in the Gulf of Mexico. Normally, when a hurricane moves north in the gulf, it weakens somewhat. But Michael exploded from a tropical depression into a major hurricane with startling speed and then strengthened all the way to landfall, when it was nearly a Category 5 storm on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind-speed scale. After shredding <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national\/hurricane-michael-left-many-in-panama-city-without-power-water-or-internet-putting-many-into-survival-mode\/2018\/10\/21\/7c54c39c-d316-11e8-8c22-fa2ef74bd6d6_story.html?utm_term=.7273af9f8199\">Panama City<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national\/hurricane-michael-tyndall-air-force-base-was-in-the-eye-of-the-storm-and-almost-every-structure-was-damaged\/2018\/10\/23\/26eca0b0-d6cb-11e8-aeb7-ddcad4a0a54e_story.html?utm_term=.86c721252281\">Tyndall Air Force Base<\/a> and destroying the town of Mexico Beach, Fla., with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national\/hurricane-michael-is-looking-even-more-violent-on-closer-scrutiny\/2018\/11\/11\/313bce34-d85a-11e8-a10f-b51546b10756_story.html?utm_term=.29080f2ca858\">a 16-foot storm surge<\/a>, the storm remained a full-blown hurricane deep into Georgia.<\/p>\n<div class=\"inline-content inline-video\" data-elm-loc=\"8\">\n<div class=\"wpv-wrap\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"blurb-powa-fe40b8ee-e756-11e8-8449-1ff263609a31-1\" class=\"powa-blurb-wrap powa-blurb inline-video-caption franklin-light\">\n<p><span class=\"powa-tease franklin-light\">A study from the University of Alaska shows that between 2007 and 2016, roughly 300 football fields worth of land were lost to erosion at Drew Point.<\/span> <span class=\"powa-byline franklin-light\">(Luis Velarde \/The Washington Post)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"9\">Just weeks earlier, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/capital-weather-gang\/wp\/2018\/09\/13\/hurricane-florence-set-to-begin-dangerous-assault-from-rain-and-wind-in-the-carolinas\/?utm_term=.e6c8465d0e7c\">Hurricane Florence<\/a> triggered record flooding on numerous rivers in the Carolinas after coming ashore as a broad, soggy Category 1 storm and slowing to a crawl. That storm track invited comparisons with Hurricane Harvey in Texas in 2017. Harvey stalled after landfall and dropped <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/capital-weather-gang\/wp\/2017\/08\/29\/harvey-marks-the-most-extreme-rain-event-in-u-s-history\/?utm_term=.c31f6d11b0b4\">as much as 60 inches of rain <\/a>in Southeast Texas, triggering catastrophic flooding that killed scores of people. Florence did not quite match Harvey in terms of rain or fatalities, but it still <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national\/florence-rivers-death-toll-and-environmental-hazards-still-rising-in-carolinas-as-flooding-sets-records\/2018\/09\/17\/c178cfb2-ba8f-11e8-bdc0-90f81cc58c5d_story.html?utm_term=.06ab948015ef\">set many records for high water <\/a>on Carolina rivers.<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"9\">Natural disasters <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/weather\/2018\/12\/26\/cost-natural-disasters-this-year-billion\/?utm_term=.c036fa67ea5c\" target=\"_blank\">cost the world $155 billion this year<\/a>, and several of them struck the United States particularly hard. Michael and Florence, the California wildfires and a volcanic eruption in Hawaii are all on that list, according to the Zurich-based <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swissre.com\/media\/news-releases\/nr_20181218_sigma_estimates_for_2018.html\">reinsurance company Swiss Re<\/a>. But it doesn\u2019t match what happened in 2017. That was the costliest weather year in U.S. history, with more than $300 billion in damage, Woods Hole Research Center senior scientist Jennifer Francis said <a href=\"https:\/\/arctic.noaa.gov\/Report-Card\/Report-Card-2018\/ArtMID\/7878\/ArticleID\/790\/Clarity-and-Clouds-Progress-in-Understanding-Arctic-Influences-on-Mid-latitude-Weather\">in an essay <\/a>published by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"11\">\u201cPeople are being affected directly by these events, and increasingly they&#8217;re asking, \u2018What&#8217;s up with this? Is climate change playing a role?\u2019 Scientists can now answer a confident \u2018yes\u2019 to that question, though the exact degree of influence is difficult to pin down,\u201d she wrote.<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"12\">The slow-moving or stalled hurricanes may be carrying a climate signal, in the same way that unusually long droughts \u2014 and the associated wildfires \u2014 may be telling us something about the changing planet. One striking feature in recent years has been the behavior of the jet stream in the Northern Hemisphere.<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"13\">The jet stream is caused by the sharp temperature gradient between the Arctic and the tropics. But as the Arctic has warmed \u2014 at a rate far faster than the rest of the planet \u2014 there is less of a gradient, and the jet stream has slowed down and meandered, Francis noted. This wavy pattern in the jet stream has the direct effect of locking down weather patterns for weeks or even months, extending droughts or periods of unusually heavy rain \u2014 something the nation\u2019s capital can understand, having endured the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/weather\/2018\/12\/15\/drenched-city-is-now-washingtons-wettest-year-ever-recorded\/?utm_term=.8af581652e55\" target=\"_blank\">wettest year in the city\u2019s history<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"14\">\u201cThe jet stream has always had periods where it got really wavy and caused temperature extremes. What we\u2019re really talking about is that the proportion of time it gets into those high-amplitude waves appears to be increasing,\u201d said Matthew Kelsch, a hydrometeorologist at the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research.<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"15\">Kelsch has kept a chronological list of extreme weather events in 2018, beginning with the dizzying temperature swings in the northeastern United States \u2014 from minus-20 degrees Fahrenheit in Burlington, Vt., on Jan. 7 to a record-high temperature of 61 degrees just four days later. Then, on Jan. 13 and 14, Alaska had record warmth. It hit 63 degrees in Sitka.<\/p>\n<div class=\"inline-content inline-video\" data-elm-loc=\"16\"><\/div>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"17\">Kelsch said the world is experiencing many more hydrological extremes \u2014 record rainfall, record drought. That makes perfect sense given the warmer atmosphere, which can hold more moisture. That doesn\u2019t necessarily translate to more reliable rainfall, he noted: \u201cEven though there\u2019s a lot of moisture in the atmosphere, it may be holding it more rather than turning it into clouds and rain.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"18\">Trenberth believes that major reports from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and the U.S. National Climate Assessment have been too conservative in estimating the costs of changing climate.<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"19\">\u201cClimate change is here, and it\u2019s already costing tens of billions of dollars a year. I think the climate costs in the future are greatly underestimated,\u201d Trenberth said.<\/p>\n<p data-elm-loc=\"19\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/science\/2018\/12\/31\/extreme-weather-was-raging-howling-signal-climate-change\/?utm_term=.263782080aba\">The Washington Post<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Joel Achenbach, December 31, 2018 Just off the top of his head, climate scientist Kevin Trenberth can recount many of the weather disasters that hit the planet in 2018. Record rainfall and flooding in Japan, followed by a heat wave that sent tens of thousands of people to the hospital. Astonishing temperature records set [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1001004,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5835"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1001004"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5835"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5835\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5836,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5835\/revisions\/5836"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}