{"id":9095,"date":"2020-01-26T22:30:11","date_gmt":"2020-01-27T06:30:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/?p=9095"},"modified":"2020-01-27T07:22:32","modified_gmt":"2020-01-27T15:22:32","slug":"post4-43","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/?p=9095","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;China coronavirus: Hong Kong medical experts call for \u2018draconian\u2019 measures in city as research estimates there are already 44,000 cases in Wuhan&#8221;, South China Morning Post"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Victor Ting, Hong Kong,27 Jan. 2020<\/p>\n<ul class=\"generic-article__summary--ul content--ul\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<li class=\"generic-article__summary--li content--li\" data-v-59119916=\"\"><em>HKU\u2019s faculty of medicine dean Gabriel Leung says research shows self-sustaining human-to-human transmission is already happening in all major mainland cities<\/em><\/li>\n<li class=\"generic-article__summary--li content--li\" data-v-59119916=\"\"><em>He called for measures to limit people\u2019s movement, school closures, work-from-home arrangements and cancellation of mass gatherings<\/em><\/li>\n<li class=\"generic-article__summary--li content--li\" data-v-59119916=\"\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"generic-article__summary--li content--li\" data-v-59119916=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"image-wrapper__image loaded\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.i-scmp.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/1200x800\/public\/d8\/images\/methode\/2020\/01\/27\/825a81f6-40ec-11ea-9fd9-ecfbb38a9743_image_hires_212444.jpg?itok=JVAqjhBx&amp;v=1580131491\" alt=\"There could be many more cases in Wuhan, Hong Kong researchers say. Photo: EPA\" data-v-107701cc=\"\" data-v-22ae94a0=\"\" \/><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"main-images main__main-images\" data-v-687d08cc=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"main-image--single\" data-v-d93b574e=\"\" data-v-687d08cc=\"\">\n<div class=\"main-image__title\" data-v-d93b574e=\"\">There could be many more cases in Wuhan, Hong Kong researchers say. Photo: EPA<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"main__row row\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"row__details details\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div data-v-587061fd=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div data-v-22ae94a0=\"\" data-v-587061fd=\"\">\n<div data-v-587061fd=\"\" data-v-22ae94a0=\"\">\n<div data-v-22ae94a0=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"details__body body\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">Hong Kong infectious disease experts are urging the government to take \u201cdraconian\u201d measures against the spread of the deadly new<\/p>\n<div class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--a content--a\" title=\"www.scmp.com\" data-v-c7b4c392=\"\" data-v-59119916=\"\"><a class=\"link-text\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/topics\/china-coronavirus-outbreak\" data-v-c7b4c392=\"\"><span class=\"text\" data-v-c7b4c392=\"\">coronavirus<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<p>from the mainland Chinese city of Wuhan, citing research estimating that 44,000 patients could be infected there \u2013 far higher than official figures.<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">University of Hong Kong academics on Monday estimated that the number of patients in Wuhan had reached 43,590 by Saturday, including those in the incubation stage of the virus, which causes pneumonia.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">Mainland authorities have put the number of confirmed cases across the country at about 2,800 as of Monday, with the death toll at 81.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">Hong Kong has eight confirmed cases of infection.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--div content--div video-wrapper\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"youtube-video-container generic-article__body article-details-type--iframe content--iframe c1\" data-v-aea9a976=\"\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-video-source=\"SCMP\" data-nid=\"3047706\" data-youtube-id=\"EFsQjpOWH-g\">\n<div id=\"div-yt-video-50c43d40-4118-11ea-9345-b9f3add968f3\" class=\"youtube-video__container\" data-v-aea9a976=\"\">\n<div data-v-aea9a976=\"\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"youtube-player-1\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/EFsQjpOWH-g?autoplay=0&amp;rel=0&amp;embed_config=%7B%22relatedChannels%22%3A%5B%22UC4SUWizzKc1tptprBkWjX2Q%22%5D%2C%22adsConfig%22%3A%7B%22adTagParameters%22%3A%7B%22iu%22%3A%22%2F8134%2Fscmp%2Fweb%2Fhongkong_healthenvironment%2Farticle%2Finstream1%22%2C%22cust_params%22%3A%7B%22scnid%22%3A%223047813%22%2C%22sctid%22%3A%22503302%22%2C%22scsid%22%3A%5B%2291%22%2C%222%22%2C%22318208%22%5D%7D%7D%7D%7D&amp;enablejsapi=1&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.scmp.com&amp;widgetid=1\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"youtube-video-details details\" data-v-aea9a976=\"\">\n<div class=\"detials__title\" data-v-aea9a976=\"\">China and Hong Kong take no chances as Wuhan coronavirus spreads<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">Lead researcher and dean of HKU\u2019s faculty of medicine Gabriel Leung said his team estimated there were 25,630 patients showing symptoms in Wuhan and that the number would double in 6.2 days, according to mathematical modelling based on infection figures worldwide as of Saturday.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">Mainland officials earlier said that unlike severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) the new coronavirus was infectious during the incubation period. Those infected with the virus might not immediately show any symptoms.<\/div>\n<div class=\"details__read-more\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"\" data-v-587061fd=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div data-v-22ae94a0=\"\" data-v-587061fd=\"\">\n<div data-v-587061fd=\"\" data-v-22ae94a0=\"\">\n<div class=\"details__body body body--next\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--div content--div methode-html-wrapper\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--iframe content--iframe\" data-v-77bb1695=\"\" data-v-59119916=\"\">\n<div id=\"iframe-container\" class=\"\" data-v-77bb1695=\"\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/multimedia.scmp.com\/widgets\/china\/wuhanvirus\/\" width=\"100%\" height=\"560\" frameborder=\"0\" data-v-77bb1695=\"\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">Leung said his team\u2019s research showed self-sustaining human-to-human transmission was already happening in all major mainland cities and warned that a pandemic might be close.<\/p>\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\u201cWe have to be prepared, that this particular epidemic may be about to become a global epidemic,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">The team\u2019s model predicted the number of infections in five mainland megacities \u2013 Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Chongqing \u2013 would peak between late April and early May. At the height of the epidemic, as many as 150,000 new cases would be confirmed every day in Chongqing, because of its large population coupled with intense travel volume with Wuhan.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--newsletter content--newsletter\" data-v-33e07123=\"\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"subscription align-center subscription--light subscription--article\" data-v-4df5c3b9=\"\" data-v-33e07123=\"\">\n<div class=\"subscription__inner\" data-v-4df5c3b9=\"\">\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\"><\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">But Leung added that their projections could be too pessimistic as they only took into account lockdown measures in Wuhan and not other health intervention policies.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">Leung, who sits on Chief Executive Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor\u2019s advisory committee on the coronavirus, called for drastic measures to curb the spread of the virus.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--a content--a\" title=\"www.scmp.com\" data-v-c7b4c392=\"\" data-v-59119916=\"\">\n<div data-v-c7b4c392=\"\">\n<div class=\"recirc\" data-v-25497950=\"\" data-v-c7b4c392=\"\">\n<div class=\"recirc__left left\" data-v-25497950=\"\">\n<div class=\"left__title\" data-v-25497950=\"\">Death toll at 80 as China bans wildlife trade in attempt to halt coronavirus<\/div>\n<div class=\"left__date\" data-v-25497950=\"\">27 Jan 2020<\/div>\n<div class=\"left__date\" data-v-25497950=\"\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"recirc__right right\" data-v-25497950=\"\">\n<div class=\"image-wrapper image\" title=\"\" data-v-107701cc=\"\" data-v-25497950=\"\">\n<div data-v-22ae94a0=\"\" data-v-107701cc=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"image-wrapper__preview-image\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAMAAAACCAQAAAA3fa6RAAAAEElEQVR42mN8+p8BCBghFAAiEQPLD3901QAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\" alt=\"\" data-v-107701cc=\"\" data-v-22ae94a0=\"\" data-src=\"https:\/\/cdn.i-scmp.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/237x147\/public\/d8\/images\/methode\/2020\/01\/27\/8e275bc6-403d-11ea-a16e-39b824591591_image_hires_132029.JPG?itok=Jvqc_TRX&amp;v=1580102435\" \/><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"image-wrapper__image loaded\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.i-scmp.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/237x147\/public\/d8\/images\/methode\/2020\/01\/27\/8e275bc6-403d-11ea-a16e-39b824591591_image_hires_132029.JPG?itok=Jvqc_TRX&amp;v=1580102435\" alt=\"\" data-v-107701cc=\"\" data-v-22ae94a0=\"\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\u201cSubstantial, draconian measures limiting population mobility should be taken immediately,\u201d he said, calling for the cancellation of mass gatherings, along with school closures and work-from-home arrangements.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">He also said the Hong Kong government\u2019s move to<\/p>\n<div class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--a content--a\" title=\"www.scmp.com\" data-v-c7b4c392=\"\" data-v-59119916=\"\"><a class=\"link-text\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/news\/hong-kong\/health-environment\/article\/3047689\/china-coronavirus-hong-kong-has-its-sixth-patient\" data-v-c7b4c392=\"\"><span class=\"text\" data-v-c7b4c392=\"\">deny entry to all residents of Hubei, of which Wuhan is the provincial capital,<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<p>along with those who had visited the province in the past 14 days, was a \u201cgood start\u201d, reversing his earlier position on closing the border.<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"imageContainer generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--img content--img caption\" data-v-43c62f50=\"\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-resolution=\"2\">\n<div class=\"body__image image\" data-v-43c62f50=\"\">\n<div class=\"image_wrapper wrapper\" data-v-43c62f50=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wrapper__img preview-img-item\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.i-scmp.com\/sites\/default\/files\/d8\/images\/methode\/2020\/01\/27\/61fb1de4-40ec-11ea-9fd9-ecfbb38a9743_1320x770_212444.JPG\" alt=\"Gabriel Leung urged the government to take more steps. Photo: Edmond So\" data-v-43c62f50=\"\" data-src=\"https:\/\/cdn.i-scmp.com\/sites\/default\/files\/d8\/images\/methode\/2020\/01\/27\/61fb1de4-40ec-11ea-9fd9-ecfbb38a9743_1320x770_212444.JPG\" \/><\/div>\n<div class=\"description-wrapper\" data-v-43c62f50=\"\">\n<div class=\"wrapper-item\" data-v-43c62f50=\"\">\n<div class=\"image__title\" data-v-43c62f50=\"\">Gabriel Leung urged the government to take more steps. Photo: Edmond So<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">But Leung also called on the government to take \u201cone, two, three more steps\u201d and broaden the scope of the border closure.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\u201cSo, the question is not whether or not to do more \u2026 Yes, we must do more. The question really is, how can we make sure that it is feasible, implementable and enforceable,\u201d he said, adding the government\u2019s task now was to study practical plans, such as import arrangements for food and supplies, to make further measures possible.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<div class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--a content--a\" title=\"www.scmp.com\" data-v-c7b4c392=\"\" data-v-59119916=\"\">\n<div data-v-c7b4c392=\"\">\n<div class=\"recirc\" data-v-25497950=\"\" data-v-c7b4c392=\"\">\n<div class=\"recirc__left left\" data-v-25497950=\"\">\n<div class=\"left__title\" data-v-25497950=\"\">What you need to know about the coronavirus in China<\/div>\n<div class=\"left__date\" data-v-25497950=\"\">27 Jan 2020<\/div>\n<div class=\"left__date\" data-v-25497950=\"\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"recirc__right right\" data-v-25497950=\"\">\n<div class=\"image-wrapper image\" title=\"\" data-v-107701cc=\"\" data-v-25497950=\"\">\n<div data-v-22ae94a0=\"\" data-v-107701cc=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"image-wrapper__preview-image\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAMAAAACCAQAAAA3fa6RAAAAEElEQVR42mN8+p8BCBghFAAiEQPLD3901QAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\" alt=\"\" data-v-107701cc=\"\" data-v-22ae94a0=\"\" data-src=\"https:\/\/cdn.i-scmp.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/237x147\/public\/d8\/images\/methode\/2020\/01\/27\/282c7c10-3c4c-11ea-a16e-39b824591591_image_hires_154450.JPG?itok=JBbDrV-C&amp;v=1580111096\" \/><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"image-wrapper__image loaded\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.i-scmp.com\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/237x147\/public\/d8\/images\/methode\/2020\/01\/27\/282c7c10-3c4c-11ea-a16e-39b824591591_image_hires_154450.JPG?itok=JBbDrV-C&amp;v=1580111096\" alt=\"\" data-v-107701cc=\"\" data-v-22ae94a0=\"\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">At a joint press conference with Lam and other health officials on Saturday, Leung rejected the idea of a border shutdown, saying, \u201cFor the past 20 years, whether it\u2019s avian flu, Sars or swine flu, we \u2026 have never closed the border.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\">Meanwhile, the World Health Organisation\u2019s director general Tedros Adhanom arrived in Beijing for talks with officials on Monday, but the agency has yet to declare the epidemic a global health emergency.<\/p>\n<p class=\"generic-article__body article-details-type--p content--p\" data-v-59119916=\"\" data-v-5281cbd1=\"\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/news\/hong-kong\/health-environment\/article\/3047813\/china-coronavirus-hong-kong-medical-experts-call\">South China Morning Post<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Victor Ting, Hong Kong,27 Jan. 2020 HKU\u2019s faculty of medicine dean Gabriel Leung says research shows self-sustaining human-to-human transmission is already happening in all major mainland cities He called for measures to limit people\u2019s movement, school closures, work-from-home arrangements and cancellation of mass gatherings There could be many more cases in Wuhan, Hong Kong researchers [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1001004,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9095"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1001004"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9095"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9095\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9104,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9095\/revisions\/9104"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9095"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9095"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9095"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}