{"id":9654,"date":"2020-04-18T23:49:44","date_gmt":"2020-04-19T06:49:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/?p=9654"},"modified":"2020-04-19T16:53:12","modified_gmt":"2020-04-19T23:53:12","slug":"post2-81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/?p=9654","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;When Covid-19 has done with us, what will be the new normal?&#8221;, The Observer"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>John Naughton, London, 18 April 2020<\/p>\n<p><em>From online GPs and home working to smartphone tracking, the speed at which we are embracing technology is unprecedented \u2013 but can we trust it?<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"drop-cap\"><span class=\"drop-cap__inner\">P<\/span><\/span>andemics \u2013 as the historian <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/19d90308-6858-11ea-a3c9-1fe6fedcca75\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">Yuval Noah Harari<\/a> has observed \u2013 press the fast-forward button on history. Suddenly, changes that would in pre-corona times have generated years of debate, dissent, hesitation, opposition and delay turn out to be possible overnight.<\/p>\n<p>Exhibit A in this context is the way in which hundreds of thousands of white-collar workers are suddenly able \u2013 indeed, required \u2013 to work from home.<\/p>\n<p>Exhibit B \u2013 more worrying \u2013 is the way governments are either <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/pandemicbigbrother.online\/en\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">already deploying<\/a>, or <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2020\/apr\/14\/growth-in-surveillance-may-be-hard-to-scale-back-after-coronavirus-pandemic-experts-say\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">actively considering<\/a>, surveillance technology of such intrusiveness that it would have caused outrage and furious protests even a month ago.<\/p>\n<p>Exhibit C is <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.google\/inside-google\/company-announcements\/apple-and-google-partner-covid-19-contact-tracing-technology\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">the decision<\/a> of the two huge tech companies that control mobile phone technology \u2013 Apple with its iOS operating system and Google with Android \u2013 to create application programming interfaces (APIs) that will enable governments to build and deploy proximity-tracking apps on every smartphone in the world. This is remarkable in two ways. One, it involves cooperation between the two members of a global duopoly that would normally trigger antitrust suits \u2013 yet there hasn\u2019t been even a whimper from competition authorities. And two, the companies insist that if governments do not comply with the conditions that they \u2013 Apple and Google \u2013 are laying down, then they will withdraw the APIs. The specific condition is that apps using the APIs are not mandatory for citizens. They have to be opt-in. So here we have two powerful global corporations laying down the law to territorial sovereigns. Unthinkable a month ago. But now\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Signs of dramatic changes are everywhere \u2013 even in GP surgeries. The <em>New York Times<\/em> published an <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/04\/04\/world\/europe\/telemedicine-uk-coronavirus.html\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">interesting report<\/a> on how the work of GPs in London is being transformed by the virus. \u201cWe\u2019re basically witnessing 10 years of change in one week,\u201d one GP told the paper. \u201cIt used to be that 95% of patient contact was face-to-face: you go to see your doctor, as it has been for decades, centuries. But that has changed completely.\u201d Before the virus, video appointments made up only 1% of annual appointments with British GPs and other practice staff. But the <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2020\/mar\/06\/gps-told-to-switch-to-remote-consultations-to-combat-covid-19\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">NHS has urged<\/a> thousands of clinics across the country to start switching to remote consultations and has fast-tracked approval of digital providers to ramp up their offerings.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"element element-pullquote element--supporting\">\n<blockquote>\n<p class=\"pullquote-paragraph\">There is still a serious digital divide and on the wrong side of it are many elderly people \u2013 who are the most at risk<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/aside>\n<p>One of these providers is accuRx, which was already being used by many GPs as a trusted tool for sending text messages to patients. As the crisis deepened, accuRx built a video-calling system <em>over a weekend<\/em> after the virus arrived in the UK and has \u2013 according to the <em>NYT<\/em> report \u2013 quickly become \u201cthe go-to provider for online appointments, offering a stripped-down interface and the comfort of having long been in primary care clinics\u201d. Having watched one of their <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=aryAqMqdHg0&amp;feature=youtu.be\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">instructional videos<\/a>, I can see why it\u2019s taken off. Zoom could learn a few tricks from them.<\/p>\n<p>While the pandemic continues to turn the world upside down, new realisations are beginning to dawn on us. As the tech analyst Ben Evans <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ben-evans.com\/benedictevans\/2020\/4\/13\/covid-and-forced-experiments\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">puts it<\/a>: \u201cWe\u2019re all online now, and, just as importantly, we\u2019re all willing to use this for any part of our lives, if you can work out the right experience and business model. Today, anyone will do anything online.\u201d<\/p>\n<div id=\"dfp-ad--inline1\" class=\"js-ad-slot ad-slot ad-slot--inline ad-slot--inline1 ad-slot--rendered\" data-link-name=\"ad slot inline1\" data-name=\"inline1\" data-mobile=\"1,1|2,2|300,197|300,250|300,274|fluid\" data-phablet=\"1,1|2,2|300,197|300,250|300,274|620,350|550,310|fluid\" data-desktop=\"1,1|2,2|300,250|300,274|620,1|620,350|550,310|fluid\" data-google-query-id=\"CPyEyu_W9egCFWEsrQYdCSQEuA\">\n<p>Well, up to a point. While it\u2019s true that not being online suddenly puts one at a real disadvantage, community volunteers up and down the country are realising that there is still a serious digital divide: and on the wrong side of it are many elderly people \u2013 who are the most at risk from the virus.<\/p>\n<p>The most important implication of the breakneck changes currently under way, though, is that there\u2019s no going back to normality. That train has left the station. The coronavirus isn\u2019t going away. And even when there is a vaccine, the risk will endure, because climate change and the erosion of wildlife habitats will <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/jembendell.com\/2020\/03\/23\/the-climate-for-corona-our-warming-world-is-more-vulnerable-to-pandemic\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">ensure a ready supply<\/a> of <a class=\"u-underline\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Zoonosis\" data-link-name=\"in body link\">zoonotic viruses<\/a>. Companies will have learned to build supply chains with resilience built in. White collar workers will have discovered that they don\u2019t have do as much commuting as before. Air travel will go back to being a luxury. And so on.<\/p>\n<p>A useful metaphor for the new normal will be what happens when driving a car on black ice. The worst thing to do is to slam on the brakes, because then you completely lose control. Instead you pump them \u2013 brake a little, then back off and repeat the process until back on gritty tarmac. Our immediate futures will be like that: a combination of what some people are beginning to call \u201cthe hammer and the dance\u201d \u2013 the hammer of successive lockdowns followed by digital dances in which we use surveillance and testing to find and control outbreaks. We are heading into a cautious, rather than a brave, new world \u2013 with Orwellian overtones. I wonder what Aldous Huxley would have made of that.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2020\/apr\/18\/when-covid-19-has-done-with-us-what-will-be-the-new-normal\">The Observer<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>John Naughton, London, 18 April 2020 From online GPs and home working to smartphone tracking, the speed at which we are embracing technology is unprecedented \u2013 but can we trust it? Pandemics \u2013 as the historian Yuval Noah Harari has observed \u2013 press the fast-forward button on history. Suddenly, changes that would in pre-corona times [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1001004,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9654"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1001004"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9654"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9654\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9675,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9654\/revisions\/9675"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9654"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9654"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/worldcampaign.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9654"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}